This month we decided to review a novel application of network theory to the horticultural industry. This paper is on work that is still very much evolving, however it shows great potential for further studies of plant trade networks.
Disease spread in small-size directed trade networks: the role of hierarchical categories M. Pautasso, X. Xu, M.J. Jeger, T.D. Harwood, M. Moslonka-Lefebvre and L. Pellis Journal of Applied Ecology. 2010 Dec; 47(6):1300-1309
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2010.01884.x
Our Review:
Lonsdale M: 2010. F1000.com/6722956
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2010.01884.x
Our Review:
Lonsdale M: 2010. F1000.com/6722956
This article is a novel theoretical application of network theory to the horticultural industry, which might ultimately contribute to a better understanding of the way in which plant diseases may spread.
This article demonstrates that structural change in the trade in plants may have an influence on the chances that a disease epidemic will occur. For example, increasing the number of producers and retailers relative to the number of wholesalers will tend to increase epidemic spread in some kinds of networks. In other kinds of networks (called 'scale-free'), which are characterised by super-connected individuals, the relative number of producers and retailers to wholesalers is not a key driver of epidemic spread.